D'Alembert Strategy
import random
import matplotlib
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import time
#lower_bust = 31.235
#higher_profit = 63.208
lower_bust = 19.00
higher_profit = 69.00
# back to 1,000
sampleSize = 1000
startingFunds = 10000
wagerSize = 100
wagerCount = 100
def rollDice():
roll = random.randint(1,100)
if roll == 100:
return False
elif roll <= 50:
return False
elif 100 > roll >= 50:
return True
def dAlembert(funds,initial_wager,wager_count):#,color):
global da_busts
global da_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
previousWager = 'win'
previousWagerAmount = initial_wager
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if previousWager == 'win':
if wager == initial_wager:
pass
else:
wager -= initial_wager
#print 'current wager:',wager,'value:',value
if rollDice():
value += wager
#print 'we won! Current Value:',value
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
#print 'we lost, current value',value
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
da_busts += 1
break
elif previousWager == 'loss':
wager = previousWagerAmount + initial_wager
if (value - wager) <= 0:
wager = value
#print 'Lost the last wager, current wager:',wager,'value:',value
if rollDice():
value += wager
#print 'we won! Current Value:',value
previousWager = 'win'
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
#print 'we lost, current value',value
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
da_busts += 1
break
currentWager += 1
#plt.plot(wX,vY)
if value > funds:
da_profits+=1
def multiple_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count):#,color):
global multiple_busts
global multiple_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
previousWager = 'win'
previousWagerAmount = initial_wager
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if previousWager == 'win':
if rollDice():
value += wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
multiple_busts += 1
break
elif previousWager == 'loss':
if rollDice():
wager = previousWagerAmount * random_multiple
if (value - wager) <= 0:
wager = value
value += wager
wager = initial_wager
previousWager = 'win'
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
wager = previousWagerAmount * random_multiple
if (value - wager) <= 0:
wager = value
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
multiple_busts += 1
break
currentWager += 1
#plt.plot(wX,vY)
if value > funds:
multiple_profits+=1
def multiple_bettor2(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,multiple):#,color):
global multiple_busts
global multiple_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
previousWager = 'win'
previousWagerAmount = initial_wager
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if previousWager == 'win':
if rollDice():
value += wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
multiple_busts += 1
break
elif previousWager == 'loss':
if rollDice():
wager = previousWagerAmount * random_multiple
if (value - wager) <= 0:
wager = value
value += wager
wager = initial_wager
previousWager = 'win'
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
if (value - wager) <= 0:
wager = value
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
multiple_busts += 1
break
currentWager += 1
#plt.plot(wX,vY)
if value > funds:
multiple_profits+=1
def doubler_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,color):
global doubler_busts
global doubler_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
previousWager = 'win'
previousWagerAmount = initial_wager
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if previousWager == 'win':
if rollDice():
value += wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value < 0:
currentWager += 10000000000000000
doubler_busts += 1
elif previousWager == 'loss':
if rollDice():
wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
if (value - wager) < 0:
wager = value
value += wager
wager = initial_wager
previousWager = 'win'
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
wager = previousWagerAmount * 2
if (value - wager) < 0:
wager = value
value -= wager
previousWager = 'loss'
previousWagerAmount = wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
currentWager += 10000000000000000
doubler_busts += 1
currentWager += 1
#plt.plot(wX,vY,color)
if value > funds:
doubler_profits+=1
def simple_bettor(funds,initial_wager,wager_count,color):
global simple_busts
global simple_profits
value = funds
wager = initial_wager
wX = []
vY = []
currentWager = 1
while currentWager <= wager_count:
if rollDice():
value += wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
else:
value -= wager
wX.append(currentWager)
vY.append(value)
if value <= 0:
currentWager += 10000000000000000
simple_busts +=1
currentWager += 1
plt.plot(wX,vY,color)
if value > funds:
simple_profits+=1
x = 0
#Doubler Bettor Bust Chances: 84.1457... so anything less than this... aaaand
#Doubler Bettor Profit Chances: 15.6355 ... aaaand better than this.
while x < 1:
da_busts = 0.0
da_profits = 0.0
daSampSize = 10000
currentSample = 1
#random_multiple = random.uniform(0.6,2.0)
while currentSample <= daSampSize:
dAlembert(startingFunds,wagerSize,wagerCount)
currentSample += 1
if ((da_busts/daSampSize)*100.00 < lower_bust) and ((da_profits/daSampSize)*100.00 > higher_profit):
print '#################################################'
#print 'found a winner, the multiple was:',random_multiple
print 'Lower Bust Rate Than:',lower_bust
print 'Higher profit rate than:',higher_profit
print 'Bust Rate:',(da_busts/daSampSize)*100.00
print 'Profit Rate:',(da_profits/daSampSize)*100.00
print '#################################################'
time.sleep(5)
#plt.show()
else:
print '####################################'
print 'To beat:'
print 'Lower Bust Rate Than:',lower_bust
print 'Higher profit rate than:',higher_profit
print 'Bust Rate:',(da_busts/daSampSize)*100.00
print 'Profit Rate:',(da_profits/daSampSize)*100.00
print '####################################'
#clears the figure
#plt.clf()
x+=1
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